Dollar stays resilient while Asia shares wobble

Rae WeeReuters
Camera IconMSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares dipped but was still headed for a weekly rise. (AP PHOTO) Credit: AAP

Asian shares have eased in holiday-thinned trade, paring some of their gains from earlier in the week, while the dollar has risen alongside US Treasury yields.

As the year's end approaches, trading volumes have begun thinning out and the main focus for investors remains the Federal Reserve's rate outlook.

Markets in Hong Kong, Australia and New Zealand were closed for a holiday on Thursday.

Since Fed chair Jerome Powell primed markets for fewer rate cuts in 2025 at the central bank's last policy meeting of 2024, traders are pricing in just about 35 basis points worth of easing for 2025.

That has in turn lifted US Treasury yields and the dollar, with the greenback's renewed strength a burden for commodities and gold.

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The benchmark 10-year yield ticked up 2.6 basis points to 4.613 per cent and is up roughly 40 basis points for the month thus far.

The two-year yield similarly firmed to 4.3489 per cent.

"Given December's hawkish cut, we believe the Fed will skip at the January FOMC meeting and wait for more data before definitely resuming, or potentially ending, this cutting cycle," said Tom Porcelli, chief US economist at PGIM Fixed Income.

"Given the Fed's shift to less accommodation paired with continued focus on both sides of the dual mandate, we believe the market will have more intense emphasis on economic events in the new year."

In currencies, the dollar was perched near a two-year high against a basket of currencies at 108.15 and was on track for a monthly gain of more than two per cent.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars were, meanwhile, among the biggest losers against a dominant greenback on Thursday, with the Aussie falling 0.5 per cent to $US0.6238. The kiwi slid 0.58 per cent to $US0.5646.

The euro eased 0.18 per cent to $US1.0399, while the yen languished near a five-month low and last stood at 157.35 per dollar.

Japan is set to raise scheduled sales of Japanese government bonds (JGB) slightly to 172.3 trillion yen ($A1.75 trillion) next fiscal year, the first increase in four years, according to a draft plan seen by Reuters.

Yields on JGBs barely reacted to the news, but were similarly higher on the day in line with their US peers.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan dipped 0.1 per cent but was still headed for a weekly rise of about 1.6 per cent, taking a cue from its counterparts on Wall Street earlier in the week.

S&P 500 futures edged 0.08 per cent higher, while Nasdaq futures advanced 0.27 per cent.

World stocks looked set to end the year on a high with a second consecutive annual gain of more than 17 per cent, unfazed by escalating geopolitical tensions and various economic and political headwinds globally.

That is mostly thanks to a second year of huge gains for shares on Wall Street as artificial intelligence fever and robust economic growth sucked more global capital into US assets.

Japan's Nikkei jumped 0.95 per cent and was on track to end the year with an 18 per cent gain.

China's CSI300 blue-chip index ticked up 0.08 per cent, while the Shanghai Composite Index advanced 0.14 per cent, with both headed for yearly gains of more than 10 per cent each, helped by a step-up in support from Chinese authorities in recent months to shore up an ailing economy.

In commodities, Brent crude futures rose 0.08 per cent to $US73.64 a barrel, while US crude gained 0.1 per cent to $US70.17 a barrel.

Spot gold ticked 0.5 per cent higher to $US2,626.19 an ounce.

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